In Joe Lunardi’s latest Bracketology the Badgers are slated as a 3 seed. More interestingly he has the entire S-Curve laid out which I have pasted in below which lists how every team is slotted into the tourney.
Some changes that we can expect.
- BYU will move down. They lost their first game without Brandon Davies by double digits, at home. Unless they rebound to win their conference tourney, or lose in the championship game to San Diego State, this team should be no better than a 3 seed, maybe even a 4 seed.
- Texas could drop further. Not likely out of the two seed area, but possibly to the bottom of the two seeds.
- Pittsburgh is virtually locked into a 1 seed, but what will be interesting is which Big East team makes a move after winning that conference tournament. The Big East winner benefits more than any other conference tourney winner, and it is maddening. A couple years ago Syracuse went from being on the bubble to a four seed, and this happens every year. St Johns is now a 4 seed, if they win the tourney it will be a 2.
There are only one or two teams, BYU and Texas, that I could envision Wisconsin passing, but I see several teams that could pass them. Even if Wisconsin does what we expect, win at Indiana tonight, lose at Ohio State, win at least one game in the conference tournament, that would be enough for most teams in the country to hold their seed. I wouldn’t be so sure with the Badgers, the lack of flashy play does hurt the perception and seemingly drops the Badgers at least one seed every year. North Carolina or any of the Big East teams, Syracuse, UConn, St Johns, Louisville and Georgetown could move past the Badgers. If two of those teams made the Big East final, two teams could pass Wisconsin from the Big East and I can almost guarantee North Carolina does.
The way I see it Wisconsin has an outside chance of moving up a couple of spots into a 2 seed, but a very likely chance of moving down three or more spots into a 4 seed.
The Full S-Curve
|9-San Diego St.||10-Wisconsin||11-Syracuse||12-North Carolina|
|24-Kansas State||23-Xavier||22-West Virginia||21-Villanova|
|25-Texas A&M||26-George Mason*||27-Temple||28-UNLV|
|33-Washington||34-Tennessee||35-Old Dominion||36-Florida St.|
|40-Illinois||39-Michigan State||38-Virginia Tech||37-Marquette|
|57-Coastal Carolina*||58-Vermont*||59-Long Island*||60-Kent State*|
|64-Florida Atlantic*||63-Murray State*||62-Long Beach*||61-Milwaukee*|
|65-No. Colorado||66-McNeese State||67-Texas Southern*||68-Bethune Cookman|
|73-Colorado St.||74-Maryland||75-Nebraska||76-Wichita St.|