Yesterday I went through how Wisconsin and Butler match-up according to the stats. Today I will look at the common opponents for a comparison between the teams.
This is not the BCS so thank god we do not have to determine who belongs in which level of a basketball tournament game due to who you have beaten, who they have beaten, and who that team has beaten. We get to actually play the games but there can be some value when comparing common opponents.
UW Green Bay:
- Wisconsin beat UWGB 70-56 at home on December 13(my birthday).
- Butler beat UWGB 81-75 at home and 64-62 at UWGB.
- Wisconsin dominated in offensive and defensive effective FG% and free throw rate. Rebounding and turnovers were a relative push.
- Butler out-shot UWGB in both games, lost the turnover battle in both, rebounding was a push, dominated free throw shooting in game one but even in the second.
- Wisconsin beat UW-Milwaukee 61-40 back on December 8.
- Butler lost the two regular season games with Milwaukee 76-52 and 86-80, but won the game that counted most in the conference tournament.
- Wisconsin dominated in offensive and defensive efficiency, effective FG%, turnovers and rebounding. Milwaukee did get to the line much more than the Badgers.
- In Butler’s blowout loss they were out-shot badly, out-rebounded badly and Milwaukee was able to get to the free throw line much more often.
- In the close loss Butler lost the battle in shooting and again the free throw line.
- In the game that Butler won against Milwaukee they shot much better and also had one of their best performances of the year forcing turnovers. But, again Milwaukee had the advantage at the line.
What can we gather from this? Maybe nothing, but Butler was only able to beat Milwaukee when it forced its second highest number of turnovers all year. Butler also sent Milwaukee to the line way too often in all three games. If Butler is expecting to win this game by forcing turnovers and having Wisconsin miss free throws they will be in very big trouble.