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A closer look at Wisconsin’s surprisingly realistic path to the Final Four

Mar 13, 2026; Chicago, IL, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Nick Boyd (2) reacts during the second half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images
Mar 13, 2026; Chicago, IL, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Nick Boyd (2) reacts during the second half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images | Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images

There's talk about Wisconsin getting a tough draw in the NCAA Tournament with their No. 5 seed and potentially facing the fourth-best scoring team, High Point, followed by the third-best points-per-game team, Arkansas. However, that actually plays into Wisconsin's hands, which loves to push the pace and get 80 or 90 points. In fact, the Badgers are undefeated in those games.

The entire region is soft compared to the other parts of the bracket. If Wisconsin can get through the trouble in their section, the Final Four run actually gets easier. Here's a look at who Wisconsin would play if everything is chalk.

Wisconsin's path to the Final Four is getting past Arkansas and Arizona

No. 16 High Point
No. 4 Arkansas
No. 1 Arizona
No. 2 Purdue

The options coming out of the bottom side of their region are No. 2 Purdue or No. 3 Gonzaga; there's also a No. 6 BYU or maybe a No. 7 Miami. In other words, the section Wisconsin starts in is far more daunting than what they would see after No. 1 Arizona.

The toughest teams Wisconsin could see on its path to the Final Four are Arkansas and Arizona. Gonzaga and Purdue are not as scary. This means the realistic path to the Final Four feels like getting through Arizona. A huge ask, but the article is about getting to the Final Four.

If Wisconsin can beat Arkansas and then Arizona, the Final Four feels realistic, especially because Purdue and Gonzaga are ripe for the upsets even earlier. It's those first two games after High Point that will matter the most on Wisconsin's path.

Wisconsin is capable of beating any of those teams, and they've proven they can beat Purdue already. The goal is to do it consistently each time they show up for an NCAA Tournament game, and for the full 40 minutes.

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