Vegas opening line for Wisconsin vs Indiana doesn’t care about Badgers’ massive upset

Nov 8, 2025; Madison, Wisconsin, USA;  Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Carter Smith (5) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the third quarter against the Washington Huskies at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
Nov 8, 2025; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Carter Smith (5) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the third quarter against the Washington Huskies at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images | Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Wisconsin is coming off a huge upset win over the No. 23-ranked Washington Huskies. However, you wouldn't know it with the way that Vegas put the spread ahead of the Indiana matchup. They clearly see the win over the Huskies as a fluke —and maybe it is —but Indiana is really good, and the opening line still puts the Badgers as massive underdogs. The Hoosiers are 30.5 favorites this weekend.

Part of the problem is not just the Wisconsin vs. Washington game looking like a fluke, from the punter being the leading passer to the Huskies' lackluster offense. Also, looking at Wisconsin's schedule, you can clearly see that they've put up so many duds this season that the Huskies game does feel fluky.

There's also the fact that Wisconsin is on the road, while the Dawgs played them at home in Camp Randall. Oh, and it doesn't hurt that Indiana is ranked No. 2 in the AP Top 25 Poll.

What is the Vegas spread, over/under, and moneyline for the Wisconsin vs. Indiana game?

Related: ESPN gives a huge shoutout to 2 Wisconsin true freshman after Washington win

The spread is 30.5, as mentioned above, putting the Badgers as severe underdogs. The over/under is set at 44.5 to open the week. If you put these two together, you can see the Vegas final score prediction. The implied final score is Indiana 38, Wisconsin 7 (taking the over).

That's a bold prediction, but probably pretty close to accurate. The Badgers only scored one touchdown against the Huskies and then a couple of field goals to top it off.

The money line for the Badgers is set at +3500, and for the Hoosiers it's -20000. This is how the week opens, and we will see if enough money moves the needle, but for now, Vegas is calling the Washington game a fluke and that things will reset back to normal against Indiana.

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