Wisconsin Football: Best sports gambling bets against New Mexico
Every week we’ll analyze the lines and totals for Wisconsin football, plus anything else that might be able to make you some money.
Well, last week was a dud in the sports gambling department. My official play for Wisconsin football against Western Kentucky was 0-2. I gave out Wisconsin -34.5 and the over on 51 points.
The final score of 34-3 had Western Kentucky covering and not enough scoring to even sniff the over.
I thought the Wisconsin offense would have had more firepower and put up near 51 points on its own. The defense did its job though, so I’ll take that info with me to this week’s predictions.
Please remember to always play responsibly. Do not wager any money you do not have and do not take anything I say here or in the future as fact. No bet is guaranteed. I do not personally gamble on sports, I only entertain the concept as an additional way to enjoy and discuss sports. I do not encourage gambling.
Read. Three superlatives from week one vs. Western Kentucky. light
The Spread
The spread opened at Wisconsin -33 and has since been bet up to Wisconsin -35. It seems like this is a good settling point for another week of Wisconsin football versus an outmatched opponent.
New Mexico is coming off a 3-9 season, but just beat Incarnate Word, an FCS program, 62-30 last week in its opener. New Mexico is no better, and likely a worse program than Western Kentucky. But New Mexico doesn’t have the luxury of playing Wisconsin in week one like Western Kentucky did. Wisconsin has a week of game film and will have another week of practice under its belt before hosting the Lobos.
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The Badger defense did its job and I don’t expect much else this weekend. The offense, however, looked sluggish and slow to start. A Jonathan Taylor fumble and some drives that ended in field goals and punts will probably end in touchdowns against New Mexico. I don’t think we saw anything close to the best version of Wisconsin’s offense. They’ll take out any frustrations on the poor Lobos.
This line is only getting bet higher as the week goes on. Unless you like New Mexico, a wager is very time sensitive.
The Total
The total for this one is significantly higher than last week’s and currently sits at 58. This is probably because of New Mexico’s point total from last weekend, being 62, compounded with Wisconsin’s ability to put up 34 points while looking extremely rusty and unproductive on offense.
A line and a total like this suggests a final score of roughly 47-12. That’s closer to the number I would predict the Badger offense to get to, but I’m not sure I trust New Mexico to find the end zone more than once.
The Lobos have to travel much further than Western Kentucky did and are playing earlier in the day. There’s no reason to suggest they’ll perform better than Western Kentucky.
I don’t think the Badgers will be able to approach 60 by themselves and New Mexico won’t be able to pick up the slack in the scoring department to reach the over.
Next. Ten reasons Wisconsin Football is overlooked. dark
Official play: Wisconsin -35, under 58.
Playing these two allows for a more conservative storyline to unfold. Wisconsin won’t need to run the score way up on its opponent. And if it does, you’re even more likely to get the cover and spare yourself a second-straight 0-2 weekend.