The Wisconsin Badgers are riding a high and could really use a Purdue or a Northwestern on the schedule today, but instead, it's Indiana. Arguably, the hardest opponent they have or will face all season. You can read why here.
However, the Badgers get to play with nothing to lose, free and loose, while Indiana is riding the College Football Playoff highwire. Hoping for a high seeding and even to make it at all. While, they seem like a shoe-in a loss to Wisconsin could really derail things for them.
Let's look at the odds and give a final prediction.
Final Odds for Wisconsin vs. Indiana: 29.5 Huskies
The Hoosiers are heavy, heavy favorites over Wisconsin with 29.5 points in their favor. The over/under is set at 43.5. Which means Vegas assumes almost all the points will be scored by Indiana, and it also gives you a Vegas prediction. If you take the spread and the over/under, you have a final score prediction set around 30-14 (if you are taking the over).
This honestly feels about right, though if I am going to predict, it seems more like 31-13.
Final score prediction: Indiana 31 Wisconsin 13
The Hoosiers have the second-best scoring defense in the country. They allow only around 12 points per game, and the Badgers have one of the worst offenses in the country. It's a bad combo, and 13 points actually feels like a lot. However, I think the week of Carter Smith getting more reps and the ability for Wisconsin to play without fear, there's a good chance they put up a touchdown or two. However, I settled for a touchdown and two field goals.
Indiana also has the No. 1 offense in the country. Wisconsin's defense has been solid against top offenses, it's hard to see them slowing Indiana down all game.